Appendix I – Workforce Projections by Jurisdiction
Radiation oncologist workforce
| 2012 | 2017 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | |
| NSW | 85.4 | 98.1 | 12.7 | 124.3 | 139.7 | 15.4 | 165.2 | 182.3 | 17.2 |
| VIC | 79.0 | 79.7 | 0.7 | 114.9 | 99.3 | -15.6 | 152.7 | 129.6 | -23.1 |
| QLD | 51.0 | 58.4 | 7.4 | 74.2 | 80.8 | 6.6 | 98.6 | 105.4 | 6.8 |
| SA | 17.0 | 25.6 | 8.6 | 24.7 | 33.8 | 9.0 | 32.8 | 44.1 | 11.2 |
| WA | 9.4 | 35.6 | 26.2 | 13.7 | 37.7 | 23.9 | 18.2 | 49.2 | 30.9 |
| TAS | 6.6 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 10.9 | 1.4 | 12.7 | 14.3 | 1.5 |
| NT | 1.5 | 0.3 | ‐1.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | -0.2 |
| ACT | 7.7 | 6.6 | ‐1.1 | 11.2 | 5.3 | -5.9 | 14.8 | 6.9 | -7.9 |
| AUS | 258.6 | 311.4 | 52.8 | 375.8 | 409.5 | 33.6 | 499.0 | 534.6 | 35.5 |
Radiation Therapist workforce
| 2012 | 2017 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | |
| NSW | 476.3 | 490.5 | 14.2 | 599.1 | 698.3 | 99.2 | 702.9 | 911.7 | 208.8 |
| VIC | 380.6 | 398.3 | 17.7 | 478.6 | 496.4 | 17.7 | 561.6 | 648.0 | 86.4 |
| QLD | 317.6 | 292.1 | -25.5 | 399.4 | 403.8 | 4.4 | 468.6 | 527.2 | 58.5 |
| SA | 99.8 | 128.1 | 28.3 | 125.5 | 168.8 | 43.3 | 147.2 | 220.3 | 73.1 |
| WA | 74.7 | 178.1 | 103.5 | 93.9 | 188.3 | 94.4 | 110.2 | 245.8 | 135.6 |
| TAS | 50.6 | 40.3 | -10.3 | 63.6 | 54.7 | -9.0 | 74.6 | 71.4 | -3.3 |
| NT | 8.5 | 1.6 | -6.9 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 13.9 | 1.4 |
| ACT | 38.8 | 33.0 | -5.8 | 48.8 | 26.4 | -22.4 | 57.3 | 34.5 | -22.8 |
| AUS | 1446.8 | 1556.9 | 110.1 | 1819.6 | 2047.3 | 227.7 | 2134.9 | 2672.8 | 537.9 |
Radiation Oncology Medical Physicist workforce
| 2012 | 2017 | 2022 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | supply | demand | shortfall | |
| NSW | 95.4 | 98.1 | 2.7 | 125.6 | 139.7 | 14.1 | 154.0 | 182.3 | 28.3 |
| VIC | 42.9 | 79.7 | 36.7 | 56.5 | 99.3 | 42.8 | 69.3 | 129.6 | 60.3 |
| QLD | 25.7 | 58.4 | 32.7 | 33.8 | 80.8 | 46.9 | 41.5 | 105.4 | 63.9 |
| SA | 17.7 | 25.6 | 8.0 | 23.3 | 33.8 | 10.5 | 28.5 | 44.1 | 15.5 |
| WA | 8.0 | 35.6 | 27.6 | 10.6 | 37.7 | 27.1 | 13.0 | 49.2 | 36.2 |
| TAS | 5.4 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 10.9 | 3.9 | 8.6 | 14.3 | 5.6 |
| NT | 3.2 | 0.3 | -2.9 | 4.2 | 2.1 | -2.1 | 5.2 | 2.8 | -2.4 |
| ACT | 4.3 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 5.3 | -0.4 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
| AUS | 202.5 | 311.4 | 108.9 | 266.7 | 409.5 | 142.8 | 327.0 | 534.6 | 207.5 |
The supply is based on existing workforce with current entrant and attrition trends. The demand is based on radiotherapy utilisation rate of 39.3% in 2012, 45.2% in 2017 and 52.3% in 2022.
Source: The Allen Consulting Group, 20127
Note regarding the WA Data.
An adjustment was made to reflect the 2012 actual data from Western Australia in the above table to account for the one non-responded WA facility in the original data collection process. The Australian total does not reflect the adjusted WA figures to maintain consistency of the data set.
Cautionary note about small numbers
The workforce numbers in some jurisdictions can be very small. Due to a large degree of year-to-year statistical fluctuation in these small numbers, great care should be taken when assessing apparent differences involving small numbers and measures based on small numbers.